Recorded Before the Election: Ken Paxton & Pollster Matt Towery… How Did They Get It So Wrong?

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Saturday, November 7, 2026

These conversations were recorded October 28 and 30, 2026, days BEFORE the midterm election. Listen to what the experts and the candidate were saying with Election Day just around the corner, and ask yourself: how did they get it so wrong?

Retiring pollster Matt Towery tells Joe Pags the polls are a "mirage." He calls the Texas Senate race extremely close and says none of these races are really four, five or seven points. Then Texas Attorney General and Republican Senate nominee Ken Paxton calls in from the campaign trail on the last day of early voting. Joe asks him the hard question: why isn't he up by 50? Paxton calls James Talarico "a con man," talks about the missed debate and Talarico's 13 days off the trail, warns about a Republican "enthusiasm gap," and gives his prediction.

Now that the votes are counted, hear it all again. What did they see coming, what did they miss, and what does it mean for 2028?

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